Le Figaro reports diplomatic sources at UN believe Russian invasion of eastern Ukraine imminent

Latest News and Opinion

Reports are coming in to the effect that a Russian invasion of the eastern Ukraine appears “imminent” or “inevitable”.


(1) Maurin Picard, “L’ONU redoute une invasion russe; La Russie serait sur le point d’envahir militairement l’est de l’Ukraine, peut-être dès ce week-end, selon des sources diplomatiques concordantes,” Le Figaro, le 25 avril 2014 (Mis à jour le à 22:45).

(2) Natalia Antelava, “Ukraine crisis: ‘Sense of inevitability of Russian invasion’,” BBC News, 26 April 2014 (Last updated at 10:33 BST).

We should not forget that the two biggest nuclear powers are on opposite sides of this conflict, and the risk of developments spinning out of control is real.

This fact argues for prudence on all sides in terms of moving troops or aircraft across international frontiers.

Putin must be stopped, in an extremely careful manner, but without succumbing to pacifism and appeasement.

What is more likely than a nuclear showdown, however, is an economic showdown, in which Russian tanks will not be able to ensure the export of Soviet goods or financial transfers from abroad to pay for them.

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James Rowles
"The Trenchant Observer" is edited and published by James Rowles (aka "The Observer"), an author and international lawyer who has taught International Law, Human Rights, and Comparative Law at major U.S. universities, including Harvard, Brandeis, the University of Pittsburgh, and the University of Kansas. Dr. Rowles is a former staff attorney at the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) of the Organization of American States OAS), in Wasington, D.C., , where he was in charge of Brazil, Haiti, Mexico and the United States, and also worked on complaints from and reports on other countries including Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Guatemala. As an international development expert, he has worked on Rule of Law, Human Rights, and Judicial Reform in a number of countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and the Russian Federation. In the private sector, Dr. Rowles has worked as an international attorney for a leading national law firm and major global companies, on joint ventures and other matters in a number of countries in Europe (including Russia and the Ukraine), throughout Latin America and the Caribbean, and in Australia, Indonesia, Vietnam, China and Japan. The Trenchant Observer blog provides an unfiltered international perspective for news and opinion on current events, in their historical context, drawing on a daily review of leading German, French, Spanish and English newspapers as well as the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, and other American newspapers, and on sources in other countries relevant to issues being analyzed. Dr. Rowles speaks fluent English, French, German, Portuguese and Spanish, and also knows other languages. He holds an S.J.D. or Doctor of Juridical Science in International Law from Harvard University, and a Doctor of Law (J.D.) and a Master of the Science of Law (J.S.M.=LL.M.), from Stanford University. As an undergraduate, he received a Bachelor of Arts degree, also from Stanford, where he graduated “With Great Distinction” (summa cum laude) and received the James Birdsall Weter Prize for the best Senior Honors Thesis in History. In addition to having taught as a Lecturer on Law at Harvard Law School, Dr. Rowles has been a Visiting Scholar at Harvard University's Center for International Affairs (CFIA). His fellowships include a Stanford Postdoctoral Fellowship in Law and Development, the Rómulo Gallegos Fellowship in International Human Rights awarded by the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights, and a Harvard MacArthur Fellowship in International Peace and Security. Beyond his articles in The Trenchant Observer, he is the author of two books and numerous scholarly articles on subjects of international and comparative law. Currently he is working on a manuscript drawing on some the best articles that have appeared in the blog.