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Reports are coming in to the effect that a Russian invasion of the eastern Ukraine appears “imminent” or “inevitable”.
(1) Maurin Picard, “L’ONU redoute une invasion russe; La Russie serait sur le point d’envahir militairement l’est de l’Ukraine, peut-être dès ce week-end, selon des sources diplomatiques concordantes,” Le Figaro, le 25 avril 2014 (Mis à jour le à 22:45).
(2) Natalia Antelava, “Ukraine crisis: ‘Sense of inevitability of Russian invasion’,” BBC News, 26 April 2014 (Last updated at 10:33 BST).
We should not forget that the two biggest nuclear powers are on opposite sides of this conflict, and the risk of developments spinning out of control is real.
This fact argues for prudence on all sides in terms of moving troops or aircraft across international frontiers.
Putin must be stopped, in an extremely careful manner, but without succumbing to pacifism and appeasement.
What is more likely than a nuclear showdown, however, is an economic showdown, in which Russian tanks will not be able to ensure the export of Soviet goods or financial transfers from abroad to pay for them.
The Trenchant Observer