Joe Biden’s presidency is sinking fast.
To save it, he would have to take extraordinary acrions, like replacing the key members of his foreign policy team: Anthony Blinken, Jake Sullivan, and Lloyd Austin.
He doesn’t seem capable of taking such bold and decisive action.
Moreover, his personal ties to Blinken and Sullivan make it much more likely that he will choose “loyalty” to these younger men over the difficult actions he would be required to take in order to ensure his political survival, and that of a number of Democratic congressmen.
Blinken is his protegé, a smart staffer who has been at Biden’s side for twenty years. Blinken,the protegé, owes everything to Biden, while Biden is the mentor who has vast experience but as to foreign policy judgment, well, not so much.
Sullivan must remind Biden of his son, Beau, who tragically died from brain cancer, after serving a tour as a JAG officer in Iraq. Biden holds Sullivan in awe. He once introduced him as a once in a generation intelligence.
Austin has strong political ties. James Clyburn, a strong supporter of Austin, is largely responsible for Biden winning the Democratic nomination in 2016, and is someone Biden would not like to cross.
So a major cabinet reshuffle seems highly unlikely, as the Biden presidency continues to sink.
The Afghanistan withdrawal decision and implementation were so disastrous that Biden can only sink further the longer he defends them. The longer it takes for him to see this, the deeper he is likely to sink.
The withdrawal decision itself is indefensible, and arguments defending it are likely to appear more flawed, not less, as news continues to emerge from Afghanistan and the region over the coming years.
Will Biden face hard political reality and call in another foreign policcy team to save his oresidency?
However desirable this might seem to those who don’t want to see Republivan victories in 2022 and 2024, such bold action by Joe Biden does not appear likely.
The Trenchant Observer