Ukraine War, July 8, 2022: West shuns Russia at G-20 in Bali; Defense of Ukraine is as vital as the defense of Berlin during Cold War

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UKRAINE: THE WAR TO SAVE THE U.N. CHARTER AND INTERNATIONAL LAW

To see a list of previous articles, enter “Ukraine” in the Search Box on the upper right, on The Trenchant Observer web site, and you will see a list in chronological order.

Dispatches
1) Patrick Wintour, “G20–Lavrov walks out of G20 talks after denying Russia is causing food crisis; Russian foreign minister accuses the west of frenzied criticism over his country’s invasion of Ukraine,” The Guardian, July 8, 2022 (12.13 BST);

2) Michael Crowley, “Russia’s Lavrov Is Pariah at Group of 20 Event, but Only for Some; Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken and other Western foreign ministers refused to meet with the Russian diplomat, but for many others it was business as usual,” New York Times, July 8, 2022 (1:26 p.m. ET);

3) Daniel Wetzel, “Baerbock setzt auf weitgehende Isolierung Russlands bei G-20-Treffen,” Die Welt, den 7. Juli 2022;

4) John Kornblum und Rüdiger Lentz, “Es scheinen bereits geheime Konsultationen zur Beendigung des Krieges zu laufen,” Die Welt, den 8. Juli 2022;

Analysis

The West shunned Russia and Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov at tge G-20 foreign ministers meeting in Bali (Indonesia) on July 7-8, 2022.

Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin threatened that Russia had not even gotten started being serious in its war with Ukraine. Crowley reported,

“Everyone should know that by and large we haven’t started anything yet in earnest,” he said. “At the same time, we don’t reject peace talks. But those who reject them should know that the further it goes, the harder it will be for them to negotiate with us.”

Putin’s spokesperson Dmitry Peskov doubled down on the threats on Friday, saying that only “a small part” of Russia’s “great” military potential was currently being used in Ukraine.

NATO could have just as easily threatened Putin by saying it had overwhelming weapons and force it could bring to bear in the conflict, too.

Kornblum and Lenz consider the broader context and stakes in the war in the Ukraine, concluding that the defense of Ukraine is as critical for the future as the defense of Berlin was during the Cold War, which was backed by threats to use nuclear weapons if necessary to defend the city.

Their article highlights what are said to be secret discussions going on between France, Germany and other allies about what a negotiated settlement of the war might look like.

What indeed might a negotiated settlement look like?

As they examine the realities, Kornblum and Lenz conclude that such a settlement is not likely any time soon, and give the reasons why.

Just as there were politicians in Britain in the spring of 1940 who were earnestly in favor of a negotiated settlement with Adolf Hitler, there are those in France, Germany and the West who seek such a resolution to the Ukraine conflict today.

Fortunately for the course of history, Winston Churchill strongly opposed any talk of such a settlement. And the British people strongly supported Churchill, who became prime minister on May 10, 1940, just as Germany was overrunning Belgium and the Netherlands and preparing for an imminent invasion of France.

The West is stuck with the leaders it has: Macron and Biden, but not necessarily Scholz.

The West awaits a leader of Churchill’s extraordinary qualities and determination to oppose fascist aggression.

Strong leaders have appeared in Lithuania and Ukraine, but not yet in Germany, France, Britain, or the United States.

The Trenchant Observer

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See also,

Only force can stop Putin

“Ukraine War, April 5, 2022 (II): Force must be used to stop Putin,” The Trenchant Observer, April 5, 2922 .

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About the Author

James Rowles
"The Trenchant Observer" is edited and published by James Rowles (aka "The Observer"), an author and international lawyer who has taught International Law, Human Rights, and Comparative Law at major U.S. universities, including Harvard, Brandeis, the University of Pittsburgh, and the University of Kansas. Dr. Rowles is a former staff attorney at the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights (IACHR) of the Organization of American States OAS), in Wasington, D.C., , where he was in charge of Brazil, Haiti, Mexico and the United States, and also worked on complaints from and reports on other countries including Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Guatemala. As an international development expert, he has worked on Rule of Law, Human Rights, and Judicial Reform in a number of countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and the Russian Federation. In the private sector, Dr. Rowles has worked as an international attorney for a leading national law firm and major global companies, on joint ventures and other matters in a number of countries in Europe (including Russia and the Ukraine), throughout Latin America and the Caribbean, and in Australia, Indonesia, Vietnam, China and Japan. The Trenchant Observer blog provides an unfiltered international perspective for news and opinion on current events, in their historical context, drawing on a daily review of leading German, French, Spanish and English newspapers as well as the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, and other American newspapers, and on sources in other countries relevant to issues being analyzed. Dr. Rowles speaks fluent English, French, German, Portuguese and Spanish, and also knows other languages. He holds an S.J.D. or Doctor of Juridical Science in International Law from Harvard University, and a Doctor of Law (J.D.) and a Master of the Science of Law (J.S.M.=LL.M.), from Stanford University. As an undergraduate, he received a Bachelor of Arts degree, also from Stanford, where he graduated “With Great Distinction” (summa cum laude) and received the James Birdsall Weter Prize for the best Senior Honors Thesis in History. In addition to having taught as a Lecturer on Law at Harvard Law School, Dr. Rowles has been a Visiting Scholar at Harvard University's Center for International Affairs (CFIA). His fellowships include a Stanford Postdoctoral Fellowship in Law and Development, the Rómulo Gallegos Fellowship in International Human Rights awarded by the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights, and a Harvard MacArthur Fellowship in International Peace and Security. Beyond his articles in The Trenchant Observer, he is the author of two books and numerous scholarly articles on subjects of international and comparative law. Currently he is working on a manuscript drawing on some the best articles that have appeared in the blog.

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