Developing. We are publishing this article as it is being written. Please check back for updates
To see a list of previous articles, enter “Ukraine” in the Search Box on the upper right, and you will see a list in chronological order.
To understand the broad context within which current developments in Ukraine should be considered,see
“Ukraine War, October 26, 2022: The context for analysis of current developments; The “dirty bomb” as a Russian propaganda distraction from current war crimes,” The Trenchant Observer, October 26, 2022.
Dispatches
1) Zolan Kanno-Youngs, “Biden, Speaking With Macron, Says He’s Open to Meeting With Putin; Showing a united front during a state visit, President Biden and President Emmanuel Macron of France expressed support for Ukraine. Mr. Biden said he would meet with the Russian president if he showed a willingness to end the war,” New Yotk Times, December 1, 2022 (updated 6:26 p.m. ET);
Analysis
President Joe Biden has been a good president on domestiv policy.
On foreign policy, he has put together one of the weakest foreign policy teams in recent history and, given his own poor judgment on foreign policy issues, has paid the price by committing an incredible series of catastrophic foreign policy blunders,
To name but a few:
1) The catastrophic decission to withdraw all American troops and contractors from Afghanistan, guaranteeing tbe collapse of the democratically-elected government of Ashraf Ghani. Without the U.S. contractors, the Afghan air force could not fly, and without the Afghan air force the Afghan army could not fight.
2) Broadcasting repeatedly to the public and to Vladimir Putin that the U.S. and NATO would not use force to oppose a Russian invasion of Ukraine.
3) Refusing to give Ukraine weapons they needed to defend their cities and civilian infrastructure from missile and drone attacks launched from Russian territory. Biden refused to give Ukraine weapons that could be used against targets in Russia proper, which Ukraine had every right to do under tbe international law of self-defense and Article 51 of tbe U.N. Charter.
Now Biden, meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron, sings the song of appeasement Macron has long been singing, urging NATO and other members of the Ukraine coalition to be careful not to “humiliate” Vladimir Putin, the greatest war criminal of tbe 21st century.
When Biden goes off script, he is frighteningly dangerous.
Why would any U.S. president agree to meet with Putin just to talk, so long as Russia has not withdrawn its troops from every inch of Russian-occupied territory in Ukraine?
Such a conversation, if it were to occur, would only provide Putin with a new opportunity to divide NATO, the EU, and other members of the anti-Russian and pro-Ukrainian coalition.
There is nothing to negotiate with Putin until Russia has ceased its aggression against Ukraine and withdrawn its troops from the country. “Territorial concessions” are out of the question. They would be void under international law. Ukraine would never freely agree to make them.
Any ceasefire that would “freeze” the conflict, leading to de facto territorial concessions” would similarly be out of the question.
The only items to negotiate will then be
1) Russian reparations (damages) for the people it has killed and tbe material damages it has caused in Ukraine; and
2) The trial and punishment of those who have committed the crimes of aggression, crimes against humanity, and acts of genocide in Ukraine.
After agreement is reached on these subjects, negotiations can begin on the nature and timing of the relaxation of sanctions.
There is nothing for Biden to discuss with Putin.
In any event, he should not meet with Putin unless Ukraine, NATO, and the EU are also in the room.
It is time for Joe Biden to get his foreign policy act together.
His first step should be to replace his protegés with a new Secretary of State and a new National Security Adviser.
And those who surround Biden shoukd make sure that he does not speak about important foreign policy matters off-the-cuff or in informal settings.
Whenever Biden goes off script, he weakens tbe foreign policy of tbe Ubited States.
Somehow his associates must convince this proud, stubborn old man to keep his mouth shut, except when he is speaking on-script.
The Trenchant Observer
***
A selection of the best articles from The Trenchant Observer is published on Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday in the Trenchant Observations newsletter on Substack.
You may subscribe here,