Ukraine War, May 9 (II):

Developing. We are publishing this article as it is being written. Please check back for updates

To see a list of previous articles, enter “Ukraine” in the Search Box on the upper right, and you will see a list in chronological order.

To understand the broad context within which current developments in Ukraine should be considered,see

“Ukraine War, October 26, 2022: The context for analysis of current developments; The “dirty bomb” as a Russian propaganda distraction from current war crimes,” The Trenchant Observer, October 26, 2022.

Dispatches

1) Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, “Russia’s losses are worse than anyone thinks; Estimates of the Kremlin’s military casualties may be far too low given
Kyiv’s use of new precision weapons, May 9, 2023 (6:00 pm).

Col Hamish de Bretton-Gordon is a former commander of the 1st Royal Tank Regiment

2) Danielle Sheridan and Rozina Sabur,”UK leads charge for Ukraine to get missiles with 200-mile range; James Cleverly tells US conference ‘if we’re saving stuff up for a rainy day, this is the rainy day’ amid new appeal to arm Kyiv better,” The Telegraph, May 9, 2023( 8:17pm);

Analysis

Hamish Hamish de Bretton-Gordon comments on Russian casualties, which sound like World War I casualty rates, stressing that the accuracy of Ukrainian weapons, augmented by innovative techniques, may mean Russian losses are muchhigher than Western military estimate, and more along the lines of the Ukrainian estimates, which are twice as high.

The Trenchant Observer

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